Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.008587 0.010097 0.011909 0.014280 0.017355 0.021288 0.026834
2025-09-21 0.006626 0.008395 0.010764 0.014289 0.019625 0.027839 0.042469
2025-09-28 0.005742 0.007657 0.010425 0.014956 0.022722 0.036773 0.068260
2025-10-05 0.005306 0.007387 0.010603 0.016342 0.027427 0.051179 0.121081
2025-10-12 0.004830 0.006942 0.010374 0.016930 0.030911 0.065782 0.201711
2025-10-19 0.004325 0.006358 0.009783 0.016662 0.032496 0.077252 0.304840
2025-10-26 0.003979 0.005977 0.009461 0.016814 0.035120 0.094475 0.517726
2025-11-02 0.003638 0.005553 0.008984 0.016513 0.036490 0.109413 0.844299
2025-11-09 0.003268 0.005038 0.008258 0.015497 0.035488 0.114397 1.150773
2025-11-16 0.002975 0.004628 0.007683 0.014706 0.034873 0.121031 1.660222
2025-11-23 0.002821 0.004452 0.007537 0.014895 0.037416 0.147726 3.988049
2025-11-30 0.002637 0.004204 0.007216 0.014586 0.038206 0.166674 9.170917
2025-12-07 0.002427 0.003903 0.006786 0.014010 0.038206 0.184423 28.788090
2025-12-14 0.002285 0.003721 0.006584 0.014007 0.040500 0.228827 2264.984762
2025-12-21 0.002208 0.003654 0.006619 0.014655 0.045983 0.331413 NaN
2025-12-28 0.002182 0.003683 0.006866 0.016002 0.056049 0.592237 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002107 0.003604 0.006856 0.016573 0.063075 0.939852 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001992 0.003434 0.006607 0.016313 0.065250 1.230635 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001909 0.003323 0.006488 0.016460 0.070339 1.898359 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001813 0.003175 0.006258 0.016168 0.072314 2.595961 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001691 0.002965 0.005856 0.015181 0.068490 2.606644 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001589 0.002791 0.005528 0.014412 0.065950 2.771862 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001538 0.002724 0.005463 0.014596 0.071183 4.960993 NaN